Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Granularity of the advances book
Retail, SME and medium corporate segments formed 75% of the overall gross advances as on June 30, 2024 (39% as on March 31, 2020). Of this, retail has grown from 21% to 44% share of advances during the same period. The overall net advances grew by 14.7% year on year (y-o-y) and stood at Rs 2,29,565 as on June 30, 2024 while the retail portfolio grew by 7.8% y-o-y during the same period and stood at Rs 1,01,781 crore as on June 30, 2024. There was growth across retail and SME product offerings including home loans (19% of retail advances), secured business loans (16%) personal loans (15%), and auto loans (15%). The improved granularity of the portfolio should also support fundamental asset quality going ahead.
Reported asset quality metrics have also improved in fiscal 2024 and 1QFY2025, with gross NPA at 1.7% as on June 30, 2024, primarily driven by reduction in corporate GNPA to 1.7% as on June 30, 2024, from 4.4% as on June 30, 2023. Although, slippages were higher in fiscal 2024 at Rs 5,334 crores as against Rs 4,775 crore in fiscal 2023, due to higher delinquencies seen in the retail and MSME segments. However, overall asset quality remains comfortable.
Given the intense competition, the ability to scale up the retail and SME portfolios while maintaining asset quality will be critical and will be key rating monitorables.
Improvement in stability and granularity in the liability profile
Yes Bank witnessed a steady outflow of deposits prior to the reconstruction of the bank, till March 2020 due to heavy withdrawals of both bulk and retail deposits preceding the moratorium. As on March 31, 2020, deposits stood at Rs 105,364 crore as against Rs 227,610 crore as on March 31, 2019. CASA deposits as a proportion of overall deposits had declined to 26.6% as on March 31, 2020, from 33.1% as on March 31, 2019.
However, the deposit base has stabilised and improved over the last four fiscals. Total deposits (including certificate of deposits) as on June 30, 2024, increased to Rs 2,65,072 crore – registering a year-on-year increase of 20.9% and an absolute increase of 151.6% from March 31, 2020. This has been supported by the bank’s increased efforts to bring in new depositors.
Further, CASA deposits formed 30.8% of the overall deposits as on June 30, 2024, an improvement from 25.8% as on June 30, 2020. Additionally, retail deposits defined as SA deposits and retail term deposits stood at 43.7% as on June 30, 2024 (45.4% as on June 30, 2023).
Depositor concentration is reducing with top 20 depositors forming ~11.5% of the total deposits as on March 31, 2024, from 12% as on March 31, 2023. Reliance on non-deposit funding has been steadily reducing but still forms 23.2% of total funding (borrowings + deposits) as of June 30, 2024 higher than larger private banking peers. Thus, the ability of the bank to continue to build a retail liabilities franchise on a steady state basis will be a critical rating sensitivity factor.
Adequate capitalization
Yes Bank has adequate capitalisation with CET 1, Tier 1 and overall, CAR of 13.3%, 13.3% and 16.5%, respectively, as on June 30, 2024. Capital position was supported by capital infusion of Rs 2,845 crore received in May 2024 towards exercise of share warrants by investors. This helped offset the moderation in capital metrics in fiscal 2024 over the previous year due to the impact of higher risk weights and loan growth. The bank has previously received capital infusions of Rs 6,041 crore in fiscal 2023 and Rs 10,000 crore infused by different financial institutions as part of its reconstruction scheme in March 2020, with a follow-on public offer (FPO) of Rs 15,000 crore in July 2020.
The bank has a sizeable networth of Rs 45,649 crore as on June 30, 2024 (Rs 41,197 crore (excluding share warrants) as on March 31, 2024) and the networth coverage for net NPAs remained comfortable at 36.6 times as on June 30, 2024 (31.2 times as on March 31, 2024).
The Bank’s CET I could deteriorate in case of an adverse judgement by the Honourable Supreme Court in the matter relating to the write-off of its Additional Tier- I (AT-I) bonds. The complete writeback of these bonds could adversely impact the CET I by ~250-260 basis points (bps), while the AT-I ratio would go up by the same extent. However, the Tier I ratio and total capital ratios of the bank should remain unaffected.
Additionally, the bank’s internal accruals have also improved with the bank reporting profits in the last three fiscals. While the profitability is muted, it should also support the capitalisation levels of the bank. Going ahead, the bank’s ability to generate healthy internal accruals and raise timely capital for growth and any potential asset side risks, remains a key rating sensitivity factor.
Weakness:
Muted profitability, albeit an improvement in recent quarters
Profitability, while improving, remains muted due to the drag on NIMs from PSL shortfall, industry wide impact of higher funding costs and elevated operating expenses. NIMs were lower in fiscal 2024 at 2.1*% compared to 2.4*% in fiscal 2023 both due to the PSL drag and impact of the rising interest rate cycle on funding costs. The negative carry from PSL related RIDF investments on NIMs stands at around 40 basis points for FY24. NIMs improved slightly to 2.2[1]% (annualized) for Q1FY25.
Operating expenses remained elevated at 2.6% of average assets in fiscal 2024 (2.5% in fiscal 2023) due to higher spend on IT infrastructure and business volume linked expenditure.
Provisioning expenses have lowered from 0.7% of average assets in fiscal 2023 to 0.5% in fiscal 2024 and was further down to 0.2% (annualized) for Q1 FY25. Provision coverage ratio (PCR) improved from 62.3% to 66.8% and 67.6% during the same periods.
Pre-provisioning profitability remained nearly stable at 0.9% for fiscal 2024, compared to the previous year. The bank reported a profit of Rs 1,251 crore (RoA of 0.3%) in fiscal 2024 as against Rs 718 crore (RoA of 0.2%) in the previous fiscal. Further, the bank reported a profit of Rs 502 crore (RoA 0.5%) in Q1FY25.
As the bank continues to maintain its growth trajectory, sustenance of margins and stability of credit costs will remain to be seen to improve the bank’s earnings profile, and thereby, also benefit its capital position.